Written by Nikolaus von Twickel

Summary

Two weeks after Alexander Zakharchenko’s assassination, Donetsk separatist leader Denis Pushilin continued to consolidate his power. On September 20, he said that he would take part in the “DNR” leadership elections in November. Three days earlier, Luhansk leader Leonid Pasechnik announced his bid for the “LNR” top post. The OSCE’s top negotiator Martin Sajdik criticized the elections as violating the spirit of the Minsk agreement.

Pushilin announces leadership bid

Almost two weeks after his election by “Parliament”, the Kremlin-backed interim separatist leader Denis Pushilin announced on Thursday that he will run for the “DNR” top post in November 11. Pushilin first held a speech from a stage in front of supporters on Donetsk’s central Lenin Square, in which he called for unity after the death of Zakharchenko. Then, a miner, a doctor, and a military officer endorsed Pushilin, before a female activist – Irina Kostina – heaped praise on him and said: “Denis Vladimirovich, I very much want that you take part in the elections, that you will be the leader of our state!”

Pushilin then came forward and asked “Friends, can I rely on your support?” When the crowd clapped and shouted he said: “Then I say yes!” Speaking to TV reporters afterwards, Pushilin stressed again that Zakharchenko’s course would serve as the basis of his election programme.

The highly orchestrated show was clearly intended to dispel any doubts about Pushilin’s popularity. Critics say that he has little popular support, citing the fact that he worked as a representative for the massive Russian “MMM” Ponzi scheme before 2014. Doubts about his electoral chances have also been put forward because he lacks military credentials and as the separatists’ chief Minsk negotiator is deeply associated with the Minsk agreement, which is deeply unpopular among “DNR” supporters.

However, politics in the “People’s Republic” is widely regarded as tightly controlled by the Kremlin, especially after Zakharchenko’s allies have been largely purged in the aftermath of the longtime separatist leader’s August 31 assassination.

Pushilin, who on Friday registered as a candidate, replaced Zakharchenko’s deputy Dmitry Trapeznikov, the initial interim leader, after being endorsed by Vladislav Surkov, the Kremlin’s point man for eastern Ukraine.

Prominent opposition figure is barred

Who will stand against him is unclear. In a sign that Moscow is not taking risks, former separatist commander and opposition figure Alexander Khodakovsky, who wanted to take part in the vote, said on Friday that Russian border guards had refused him to enter the Donetsk “People’s Republic”.

Khodakovsky has for years been the most prominent opposition figure inside Donetsk. A prolific writer, he used to criticize the separatist elite in abundant social media posts and in a question and answer show on Youtube. He abruptly stopped publishing in May and only reappeared after Zakharchenko was dead, suggesting that the former “DNR” leader had silenced him.

Other potential candidates include Pavel Gubarev, who was the first Donetsk separatist leader in March 2014 but was imprisoned for almost two months by Ukrainian authorities and later sidelined from the separatist leadership. However, Gubarev is active in the “Svobodny Donbass” movement, the only officially sanctioned opposition group, and has made a limited comeback into the “DNR” political arena this year. Gubarev said on Friday that the decision to ban Khodakovsky was a “worrying signal” and stressed that he would try to register his candidacy on Saturday.

Ukraine denounced the “elections” as illegal. Daria Olifer, the spokeswoman for Ukraine’s chief Minsk negotiator, former President Leonid Kuchma, said that holding them threatens the whole Minsk process. “Their results will have zero legal consequences and will not be recognized by Ukraine and the world, Olifer said in a statement after the latest round of talks on September 19.

Kiev and her Western allies argue that the Minsk agreement stipulates the holding of local elections under Ukrainian law. Russia’s chief negotiator Boris Gryzlov has argued that the agreement speaks of municipal elections, which is not the same as parliamentary and leadership elections of the “People’s Republics”. However, the Minsk “Package of Measures” speaks of local and not municipal elections.

The chief OSCE negotiator, Austrian diplomat Martin Sajdik, has said that such elections run counter to the spirit of the agreement.

Pasechnik to run in Luhansk

In Luhansk, separatist leader Leonid Pasechnik officially registered his candidacy on September 17. A career intelligence officer who defected from Ukraine’s SBU to the separatists in 2014, Pasechnik has never taken part in an election before. The former State Security “Minister” came to power after a putsch in November 2017, when armed forces, believed to have been sent from Donetsk by Zakharchenko, deposed local separatist leader Igor Plotnitsky.

It is not known who will stand against Pasechnik. The nominal oppositional movement “Lugansk Economic Union” held a convention Friday but had not nominated a candidate by mid-afternoon. As in Donetsk, observers do not expect any serious challenge for the incumbent Pasechnik.

Purported owner of the Café “Separ” resigns

The separatists continued to blame Ukraine for Zakharchenko’s assassination. On September 15, Pushilin said that a detained person had given “comprehensive evidence” that the August 31 bomb had been planned and carried out by Ukrainian intelligence agency SBU. He added that the investigation had also shown that Western agencies must have helped the SBU, because the explosive device used was of a “high technology” previous unknown to be possessed by Ukraine.

However, neither Pushilin nor the “DNR” State Security “Ministry”, known as MGB, backed this up with any concrete evidence. The “MGB” only published two video “confessions” with men who claimed that the SBU had been busy preparing sabotage groups (known by their Russian acronym DRG) to assassinate separatist leaders.

One of them, which was broadcast via the Russian Defence Ministry’s TV channel “Zvezda”, said that he had been part of group that had planned to kill Zakharchenko by planting a bomb in the bathroom of the Donetsk restaurant “Pushkin” – but had been arrested back in 2017.

Zakharchenko was killed just after entering the café “Separ” not far from his office in central Donetsk. According to Russian TV reports, the bomb was hidden in a lamp just inside the café, making it unlikely for outsiders to plant it. The café’s purported owner, separatist MP Alexander Kostenko, on September 13 resigned without explanation from his post as faction leader for the ruling “Donetsk Republic” movement. On September 21 – again without explanation – the “parliament” said that he has been sacked as chairman of a committee investigating the nationalization of food markets.

Said to be a former Zakharchenko bodyguard, Kostenko has neither denied nor confirmed his links to the location. He said shortly after the explosion that he was not planning to leave Donetsk and that he was has been testifying to investigators.

Separatist officials have adamantly blamed Ukraine for the murder, while allowing no discussion of the exact circumstances in their official media. However, even Igor Girkin, the former FSB officer who under the pseudonym “Igor Strelkov” was one of the most prominent separatist commanders of 2014, admitted in an interview that Zakharchenko’s murder might have been ordered by “internal enemies or criminal authorities”.

Economic policy reversals

Meanwhile, the new “DNR” leadership continued to revert economic policy decisions made under Zakharchenko and his powerful deputy and “Revenue Minister” Alexander Timofeyev. Two commissions were set up to investigate “illegal activities” of the “Revenue Ministry” under its previous leadership – one by “Parliament” and another by the government. The parliamentary commission even set up a hotline and asked witnesses to come forward and tell their story.

Timofeyev, who was injured in the explosion that killed Zakharchenko, has fled to Moscow and is reportedly being barred from re-entering the Donetsk “People’s Republic”.

Another commission was set up to investigate corruption in relation to the nationalization of markets, which was carried out under Timofeyev in the past years.